Glossary

ET

Short for Edge Theory — this is us, the analysis engine behind the site. When a page says "what ET saw" or "ET's read," that's us describing our own model's output, not a person's opinion.

ET Score

A single number from 0–100 that reflects how confident our own analysis is in an opportunity, based on everything we weighed — our projection, the market's price, and how reliable our underlying data is for that pick. It is not a probability of winning and not a promise of any outcome, just our own stated confidence at the moment we published it.

Qualified

An opportunity that cleared our bar for showing up on the board at all. Most player props and game lines we look at every day don't qualify — "Qualified" means this specific one passed our analysis, not that it's a sure thing.

Watch

An opportunity that isn't Qualified yet, but is close. Each one on the Watch page spells out exactly what would need to change for ET to qualify it — and what would make ET walk away from it entirely instead.

ET Top 4

Up to four Qualified opportunities per sport, spotlighted together for visibility. It's not a separate or "better" scoring tier — it draws from the same Qualified bar as everything else. Each sport is capped independently at four, so the total across a full slate (multiple sports) can be higher than four. Within any one sport, some days it holds four, some days two, some days zero — zero is a normal, expected outcome, not a sign anything is broken.

Why ET Passed

Every player prop or game line we look at and don't qualify still gets a real reason on the Why ET Passed page — what we saw, why it didn't clear the bar, and whether the actual result later agreed with that call.

ET vs Market

Shows where our own read disagrees with the number the market has posted, without exposing the model that produced our side of it. It's a way to see where ET and the market see a game differently, not an instruction to act on that gap.

Results: Win / Loss / Push

Once a graded Qualified or ET Top 4 opportunity's game is final, it gets a real outcome on the Results page: Win or Loss based on what actually happened, or Push when the final result landed exactly on the line, with nothing excluded or cherry-picked. Occasionally a game is cancelled or a bet-relevant event never happens at all — that grades as void and isn't counted as either a win or a loss.

Line Move

What you'll see called out in the ticker or on Live Feed when a market's posted price changes after we first saw it — a signal worth knowing about, not a signal we're telling you to react to.